Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336f1023e0c7b6c29c2f64a97fe817b238e03a619b66e19475ca5639083c723b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Monaco | 1c | 5,343$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Monaco | 18c | 4,390$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.63 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 19c | 1,767$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Monaco | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Monaco | 22c | 1,445$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Monaco | 21c | 1,408$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Monaco | 18c | 1,302$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…a438backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 760.01$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Monaco | 21c | 724.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 715$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Monaco | 19c | 650$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Monaco | 19c | 617.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Monaco | 19c | 543$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 510.67$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…67e2backed Monaco | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Monaco | 21c | 464$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Monaco | 21c | 427.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 399.82$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Monaco | 20c | 371.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 243.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Monaco | 17c | 190.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…bab5backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Monaco | 20c | 83.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Monaco | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 62.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monaco | 19c | 57.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 57.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olympiacos B.C. | 49c | 56.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…7380backed Monaco | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3c…663dbacked Monaco | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Monaco | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Monaco | 51c | 48.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0574backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…15ffbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…bfedbacked Monaco | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…edbdbacked Monaco | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…26ecbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 50c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…2c96backed Olympiacos B.C. | 50c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.