TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tommaso Compagnucciof Ryan Nijboer, Tommaso Compagnucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xade2…e86dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci66c12,290$8,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.6152661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ryan Nijboer34c10,920$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.138,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci56c4,011$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.889645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Ryan Nijboer44c3,874$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.48933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Tommaso Compagnucci65c3,108$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.648555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ryan Nijboer22c2,262$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.764,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Tommaso Compagnucci65c1,383$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.893060%18 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Tommaso Compagnucci55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9137557.6%216 W · 159 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tommaso Compagnucci79c902.99$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.524,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Ryan Nijboer38c847.43$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+97.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Tommaso Compagnucci73c822.53$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5344950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ryan Nijboer27c780.73$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.151,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci57c726.41$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.094,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Ryan Nijboer43c716.57$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9666444.6%296 W · 368 L+29.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryan Nijboer28c625.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.488,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ryan Nijboer38c592.59$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.782,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Tommaso Compagnucci71c560.41$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.091,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Tommaso Compagnucci77c550$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.534145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Ryan Nijboer36c456.8$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.78732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Ryan Nijboer42c422$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.141,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tommaso Compagnucci79c379$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Tommaso Compagnucci57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8867757.6%390 W · 287 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Tommaso Compagnucci73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tommaso Compagnucci56c315.81$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.961,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c7…d291backed Tommaso Compagnucci78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610845.4%49 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Tommaso Compagnucci72c277.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Ryan Nijboer44c273.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.561,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ryan Nijboer42c254$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.887,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Tommaso Compagnucci74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6510761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Ryan Nijboer42c223.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.712,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Ryan Nijboer45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039346.8%184 W · 209 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Ryan Nijboer43c211.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.861,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Tommaso Compagnucci57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.314555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Tommaso Compagnucci56c199.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ryan Nijboer43c184$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5667745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Ryan Nijboer34c172.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.261,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Ryan Nijboer15c157.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1348947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Tommaso Compagnucci76c153.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9534764%222 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Ryan Nijboer26c151$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.261,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Ryan Nijboer30c147.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.41,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ryan Nijboer27c137.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.011,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ryan Nijboer28c124.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.551,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Ryan Nijboer28c124.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9312340.7%50 W · 73 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ryan Nijboer30c100.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.771,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Tommaso Compagnucci57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432487.5%21 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+31.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Ryan Nijboer42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Ryan Nijboer44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3982…147fbacked Ryan Nijboer23c96.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.189043.3%39 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Tommaso Compagnucci57c85.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5715374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Tommaso Compagnucci56c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5225249.2%124 W · 128 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Tommaso Compagnucci67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6313449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tommaso Compagnucci70c72.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.862,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Tommaso Compagnucci78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533164%212 W · 119 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ryan Nijboer36c56.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Ryan Nijboer43c55.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0760341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Ryan Nijboer33c53.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6859738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Nijboer28c51.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.158,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Tommaso Compagnucci78c51.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0936342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ryan Nijboer44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci79c49.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3622150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Ryan Nijboer33c47.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9842130.2%127 W · 294 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ryan Nijboer24c46.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.375,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ryan Nijboer43c46.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Ryan Nijboer45c43.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0815557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Tommaso Compagnucci75c33.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.471952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tommaso Compagnucci56c32.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.463,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x430b…f9e0backed Ryan Nijboer34c31.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Ryan Nijboer42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610437.5%39 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed Tommaso Compagnucci57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Ryan Nijboer45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Tommaso Compagnucci60c21.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431952%166 W · 153 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.622359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Tommaso Compagnucci74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.236315.9%10 W · 53 L-16.4wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.6%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x2e3c…f262backed Tommaso Compagnucci69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.284566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.