NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norway
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f88d4d4b4bfd7e06eb841b739d0b9a8fd0da789ce81bc19d3ecab05912d013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Slovakiaof Slovakia, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked Norway | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Norway | 28c | 999.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Slovakia | 74c | 445.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Slovakia | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Norway | 32c | 405$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Slovakia | 67c | 361.24$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Slovakia | 74c | 354.95$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norway | 32c | 312.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Slovakia | 68c | 232.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Slovakia | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norway | 33c | 187.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway | 33c | 186.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Slovakia | 64c | 155.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Norway | 23c | 152.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norway | 33c | 137.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Norway | 26c | 134.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Slovakia | 74c | 134.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Slovakia | 62c | 123.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Slovakia | 71c | 108.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Norway | 28c | 106.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Slovakia | 77c | 91.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…4b05backed Slovakia | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Slovakia | 73c | 73.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Norway | 24c | 68.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Slovakia | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Norway | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…6b5cbacked Slovakia | 72c | 52.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…a2aabacked Norway | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Slovakia | 76c | 37.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…3330backed Slovakia | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…9058backed Slovakia | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…051fbacked Slovakia | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked Slovakia | 71c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Slovakia | 76c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.