South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417e9544e13c98458ec4f6067b93022c05069bb0de3c01e9b32a06eb6b5f4dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Corinthians Paulistaof SC Corinthians Paulista, Independiente Santa Fe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.79 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Independiente Santa Fe | 66c | 1,027$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Independiente Santa Fe | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 40c | 242.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 42c | 231.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 59c | 178.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Independiente Santa Fe | 39c | 107.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 41c | 93.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 58c | 90.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 71.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 53.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 53.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 53.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 53.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 53.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SC Corinthians Paulista | 26c | 51.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…1214backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 40c | 45.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Independiente Santa Fe | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Independiente Santa Fe | 59c | 37.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed SC Corinthians Paulista | 41c | 32.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…21b8backed Independiente Santa Fe | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Independiente Santa Fe | 68c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Independiente Santa Fe | 62c | 16.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.