South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1472030d3d4abc263d77991b7fcfcbba1a04a534f28fb62cf2004e187ffc8766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 51c | 12,247$6,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.1 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 12,039$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.89 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 34c | 3,842$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.49 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 70c | 1,395$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 1,361$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 15c | 686.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.56 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 398.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 32c | 373.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 65c | 366.77$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 46c | 303.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 32c | 263.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 211.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 197.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 32c | 188.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 157.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 69c | 142.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 58c | 142.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 68c | 134.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 97.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 51c | 77.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 66.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 66.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 65.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 29c | 63.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Under | 68c | 60.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…3e26backed Over | 56c | 31.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 68c | 31.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 67c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 57c | 23.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 68c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…e5a4backed Over | 69c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.