Fifa International · resolved market
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f277cbb33fb8ddcc411b5c74991e17721aba8e367cd151cb448e7ac24fb6adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 71c | 5,841$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.96 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Yes | 37c | 2,721$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 65c | 1,756$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.47 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 1,738$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 35c | 1,386$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.49 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 67c | 1,241$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.12 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 699$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 64c | 530.59$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 35c | 514.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 37c | 485.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 35c | 432.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.99 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 33c | 382.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…186dbacked No | 69c | 375.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…a213backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…c2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 64c | 260.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 72c | 199.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 194.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 55c | 168.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…00abbacked Yes | 36c | 163.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Yes | 28c | 163.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 29c | 157.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…75d7backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 37c | 135.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6e…bd19backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 122.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 117$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 36c | 114.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…f400backed Yes | 40c | 102.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 98.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 66c | 98.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 34c | 95.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…61a0backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 36c | 82.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 81.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…170bbacked Yes | 33c | 74.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes | 36c | 67.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 66c | 36.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 32c | 36.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 71c | 24.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…0613backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…06b0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 61c | 18.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 16.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsthis page
- Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsNo won
- Igor Thiago: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.