Fifa International · resolved market
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4479a5d5c5010566d4e1a884f3e1bf0365b65189cdc82e5ec830a5a6f5236461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…b6ebbacked Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…4d84backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 19c | 254.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 18c | 161.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 17c | 143.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…36a4backed Yes | 18c | 85.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…f2c6backed Yes | 15c | 72.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…f1b2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsNo won
- Igor Thiago: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.