Fifa International · resolved market
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3616b1c62a981d150f1b7c471cb6256ea04d83fb67a4a17ba92b2fe2e635d3b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 65c | 1,452$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.65 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 34c | 711.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 67c | 532.28$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 66c | 407.38$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…95e4backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 32c | 140.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 68c | 96.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…19aebacked Yes | 34c | 69.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…e55cbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…8d6ebacked No | 68c | 36.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17b…aa86backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsthis page
- Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Casemiro: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 1+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 2+ goalsNo won
- Endrick: 3+ goalsNo won
- Igor Thiago: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsYes won
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raphinha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raphinha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assistsNo won
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsYes won
- Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.