Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e201c9d104cc6eed2349d3c66f8f0920dd4f511861f5ad71209da804afe811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 1,524$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.57 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 69c | 1,455$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.41 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Under | 69c | 822.49$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Under | 67c | 438.35$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 32c | 404.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 31c | 353.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 31c | 289.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 30c | 283.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 32c | 209.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 172$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 15c | 163.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 68c | 144.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Under | 72c | 136.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 135.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 122.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 119.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 69c | 117.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 105.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Under | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Under | 68c | 58.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 33c | 55.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 52.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…d1a3backed Under | 69c | 47.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 70c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 65c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…d14fbacked Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 17.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 15.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Under | 78c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.