Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f01ed65f5a9feb85c852c3b0ae84b00ec839d0cffbb9927ee07503be5fcd6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 22c | 18,147$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.33 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 15,131$11,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 77c | 10,118$7,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 42c | 7,646$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.59 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 4,625$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 74c | 2,355$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Under | 23c | 1,682$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 21c | 1,191$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 77c | 1,087$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 629.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Under | 13c | 515.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 494.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 4c | 325.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 80c | 229.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 59c | 162.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 59c | 157.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 78c | 147.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 29c | 123.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 61c | 120.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 80c | 106.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 76c | 92.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Under | 28c | 71.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 63.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Over | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Over | 78c | 45.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 77c | 45.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 80c | 44.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 35.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…0a1bbacked Over | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 66c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 80c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 78c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Over | 79c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Over | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…805bbacked Over | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…2d8fbacked Over | 79c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.