South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ccd3741ceb31fca435737a82fe0775bb286379b4e6819a13133e988822a8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 1,255$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 900.41$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 27c | 399.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +837.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 80c | 294$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 239.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 176.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 72c | 160.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 119.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 68c | 105.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 98.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 72c | 98.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 83.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 72c | 80.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Over | 72c | 71.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…4103backed Over | 72c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.