South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1fcc79d0bc05779127f847f4cdfead29e3e07a9728c57eaf2c0b91f1ce87678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 8,295$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 2,160$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,731$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,553$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 40c | 1,351$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.93 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 23c | 1,148$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 645$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 642.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 39c | 459.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 405$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 39c | 360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 41c | 348.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 14c | 337.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 11c | 310$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 64c | 301.81$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 258.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 244$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 235.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 60c | 232.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 31c | 202.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 10c | 147.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 33c | 118.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 36c | 117.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 33c | 106.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Under | 75c | 93.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 71c | 90.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 28c | 88.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…8f21backed Over | 49c | 86.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 25c | 72.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 74c | 66.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 56c | 66.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…b1d0backed Over | 40c | 62.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 43c | 60.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 75c | 59.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 53.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 24c | 52.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 31c | 43.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 34c | 37.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 69c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 61c | 31.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 44c | 27.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 59c | 27.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…427cbacked Under | 73c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 63c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.