South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763c5076cb4f7f623a625066548deccffcd46fe9330f9feaff66267ca6ad8ef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,185$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.92 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 916.03$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 869.28$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.56 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…034abacked No | 54c | 486.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 47c | 425.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 47c | 212.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 55c | 177.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 176.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…e66dbacked Yes | 54c | 127.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 98.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 53c | 84.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 55c | 82.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 63.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 40c | 58.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 43.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed No | 52c | 42.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 45c | 41.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 47c | 34.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 47c | 27.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 52c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…0e26backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed No | 55c | 19.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…aa61backed Yes | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.