Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Adam Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eff20ecb3fd1ba1814d13d46d175e59bdd7af1994a4abcb7677fb12024c834a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hijikataof Hijikata, Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc933…5366backed Walton | 46c | 6,721$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hijikata | 54c | 3,352$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.85 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hijikata | 59c | 2,004$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Walton | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Hijikata | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Walton | 45c | 1,671$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.73 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hijikata | 55c | 1,580$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.7 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Hijikata | 59c | 1,194$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.97 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Hijikata | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Walton | 50c | 541.51$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hijikata | 68c | 514.47$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Walton | 47c | 428.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Hijikata | 56c | 380$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Walton | 36c | 304.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Walton | 45c | 288.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton | 47c | 283.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Hijikata | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hijikata | 53c | 275.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Hijikata | 55c | 275$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Walton | 45c | 261.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Walton | 48c | 210.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Hijikata | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Hijikata | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hijikata | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Hijikata | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Hijikata | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Walton | 43c | 177$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Walton | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hijikata | 79c | 141.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hijikata | 67c | 130.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hijikata | 46c | 112.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hijikata | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hijikata | 56c | 98.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…290ebacked Walton | 59c | 90.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Walton | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Walton | 66c | 75.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Walton | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…9a53backed Hijikata | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Hijikata | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Hijikata | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Walton | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Hijikata | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Hijikata | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Hijikata | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Walton | 45c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hijikata | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Hijikata | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hijikata | 53c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Hijikata | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Adam Waltonthis page
- Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Hijikata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.