TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under57c32,017$18,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,608.7267056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over42c18,838$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,911.841,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over43c5,884$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.581,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under58c3,034$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.13863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over41c2,742$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.471,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over42c2,722$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.1252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Over43c2,246$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over41c2,149$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.025954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over41c1,489$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.651,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over41c1,417$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0812754.3%69 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over42c1,300$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5465545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Over42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1930035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under58c974.8$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.422,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under59c909.27$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.811959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over41c835.82$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.692,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over42c804.33$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8292254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under58c668.71$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8612352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over42c642.41$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8112850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over44c611.29$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.976543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over44c505$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under59c502.33$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9618653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over42c477.77$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6712347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under59c420.4$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.364763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under58c389.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.773956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under58c381.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.082462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under56c371.62$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over41c360.56$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.371,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under59c355$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.554257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under58c288$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9610355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under59c280.92$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.187865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under59c280.92$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.183464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over42c255.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1490937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under58c244.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.768058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over42c229$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.181,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c226.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8460849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under59c176.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3638950.9%198 W · 191 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.595265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over41c164.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5825547.5%121 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under58c154.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6911161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ca…3b08backed Under58c154.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.692365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under58c154.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.693056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over42c143.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.231,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under59c142.43$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4953649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Under76c142.42$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1855744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under58c142.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.772152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under59c142.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.295954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over28c129$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7733124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under58c123.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under58c117.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.414158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under59c114.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7938358%222 W · 161 L-1.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under59c94.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7914561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under58c92.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8941544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6121140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under58c85.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8514338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa6…cbb7backed Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under59c78.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.994759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under59c72.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5918356.8%104 W · 79 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Under59c64.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.398557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under59c63.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.925366%35 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Over42c62.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2314052.1%73 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under58c62.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Under70c59.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under58c58.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.728248.8%40 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under59c58.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9913759.9%82 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Over37c54.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9616668.7%114 W · 52 L+22.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under60c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.818459.8%110 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Under59c49.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.410253.9%55 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under72c49.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d9…b2bebacked Over43c42.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Over47c38.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…bbf6backed Over31c37.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under59c34.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143447.1%16 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Under59c33.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c33.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under58c32.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5115356.9%87 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under58c32.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5118560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Under59c30.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under58c29.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2936647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe7…24a0backed Under58c29.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.283873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad77…3d8ebacked Over42c27.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over41c24.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1323831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Under58c23.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Under59c20.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.243756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under58c17.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3712763%80 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under58c17.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3710055%55 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x102c…7b22backed Under71c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.056168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b8b…2c87backed Under69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.