Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd868d25fe998858984276dc39641fb2c64ff741bcbe6b04376311d6182234463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 612,530$315,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296,703.89 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 48c | 400,000$193,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 90,942$44,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,472.02 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Under | 48c | 45,678$22,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,048.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 12,268$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.66 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.92 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 633.78$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.05 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Under | 49c | 222.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 186.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 30c | 145.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 140.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 50c | 88.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 79.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…a96bbacked Over | 52c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 49c | 60.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 58.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Under | 50c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 56.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 46.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 31.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 50c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 132.5this page
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State SpartansMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks won
- Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.