Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6de7c413b93453d8627e4e55cbc30b0f365660300d9635c563f09d6e8417ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 9,889$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.57 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31da…c37cbacked Yes | 4c | 8,170$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 4,983$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 58c | 3,189$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.63 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,956$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 2,367$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.47 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked No | 44c | 2,265$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 39c | 2,067$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 44c | 1,785$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 1,482$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.56 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 35c | 1,131$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 58c | 936.12$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 56c | 781.68$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 656.28$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 591.67$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 57c | 578.72$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 504.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 60c | 454.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 335.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 43c | 299.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 41c | 297$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 277.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 258.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 56c | 203$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 35c | 183$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 143.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 130.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 121$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 119.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 42c | 112$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 100.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 46c | 96.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 56c | 96.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 56c | 93.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 69.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked No | 43c | 68.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 57c | 64.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 71c | 42.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 40c | 41.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 43c | 39.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…becabacked Yes | 38c | 36.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 41c | 35.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Yes | 52c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…04d1backed Yes | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked Yes | 52c | 24.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.