College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. Southern Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6590854adb3e3ee1cae6a1a182cac9e7691f2d0e5f2c720bb9c6b43cdd26144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troyof Troy, Southern Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Southern Miss | 69c | 36,232$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Troy | 31c | 15,768$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,879.88 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Southern Miss | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Troy | 31c | 14,270$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.31 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Troy | 31c | 12,098$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,347.52 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Troy | 31c | 5,474$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Troy | 79c | 2,325$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Troy | 32c | 1,800$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.63 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Southern Miss | 21c | 1,618$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.47 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Southern Miss | 68c | 1,460$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.99 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy | 32c | 1,449$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.32 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Troy | 30c | 1,304$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.89 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Troy | 31c | 1,166$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.24 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Troy | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Southern Miss | 68c | 979.4$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Southern Miss | 27c | 917.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Southern Miss | 68c | 827$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Troy | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Southern Miss | 23c | 569$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 32c | 534$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Troy | 51c | 530$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.48 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 68c | 443.05$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Miss | 38c | 387.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Southern Miss | 69c | 343.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Troy | 31c | 330.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Southern Miss | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Troy | 31c | 250.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Troy | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy | 62c | 212.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Troy | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Troy | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Troy | 48c | 180.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss | 34c | 156.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Troy | 64c | 155.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Troy | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…75eebacked Troy | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Troy | 78c | 104.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Southern Miss | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Southern Miss | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Troy | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Troy | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Troy | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Troy | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Troy | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Troy | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Southern Miss | 69c | 86.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…4378backed Southern Miss | 70c | 86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Troy | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Troy | 39c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Southern Miss | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Southern Miss | 68c | 67.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Troy | 75c | 62.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 27c | 61.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Troy | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Troy | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Southern Miss | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Troy | 52c | 47.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Troy | 77c | 44.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Southern Miss | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Southern Miss | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Southern Miss | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Troy | 31c | 35.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…a1b7backed Troy | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Troy | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Troy | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Troy | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Southern Miss | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Southern Miss | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Southern Miss | 68c | 21.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Southern Miss | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…ebc0backed Southern Miss | 69c | 18.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Southern Miss | 68c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…eb2fbacked Troy | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southern Miss | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. Southern Missthis page
- Spread: Southern Miss (-6.5)Troy won
- Troy vs. Southern Miss: O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.