NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8871e62e782bf16e85a1203ee463bada0596c95e29e22ccd8a78b4a7b4871a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Penguins, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 16c | 60,000$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.91 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 55c | 23,839$13,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,727.73 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 45c | 17,683$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.87 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Penguins | 0c | 8,810$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 8,127$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins | 46c | 6,763$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.5 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Canadiens | 55c | 6,720$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 45c | 6,666$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 5,989$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 64c | 5,763$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.23 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Canadiens | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Penguins | 45c | 3,976$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.07 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens | 62c | 3,175$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.64 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Penguins | 33c | 2,895$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.73 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins | 1c | 2,659$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins | 27c | 2,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Penguins | 19c | 2,118$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.15 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,799$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.6 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Penguins | 11c | 1,793$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 44c | 1,712$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,633$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.6 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 57c | 1,632$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.75 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,287$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.15 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 44c | 1,204$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Penguins | 43c | 1,176$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.34 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,108$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.12 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 77c | 988.4$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 62c | 932.14$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.47 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Penguins | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…45f6backed Canadiens | 54c | 877.78$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…9084backed Penguins | 46c | 877.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…7e3ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 827$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…16ccbacked Penguins | 45c | 827$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Penguins | 45c | 823$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.35 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…8499backed Canadiens | 55c | 803$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8376…ded8backed Canadiens | 55c | 803$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…ac2abacked Penguins | 45c | 803$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…886ebacked Penguins | 45c | 803$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Canadiens | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…a55bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 795$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…ad14backed Penguins | 45c | 795$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Canadiens | 51c | 782$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 44c | 762.1$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…8628backed Penguins | 45c | 756$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…2869backed Canadiens | 55c | 756$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canadiens | 54c | 743$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.61 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…d2e3backed Penguins | 45c | 743$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…1f37backed Canadiens | 55c | 743$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Penguins | 16c | 738$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…266abacked Canadiens | 55c | 716$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…deb2backed Penguins | 45c | 716$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d1…d97cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 708$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…b7ecbacked Penguins | 45c | 708$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…dc3bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 702$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…164cbacked Penguins | 45c | 702$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 44c | 699.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd29…abbcbacked Canadiens | 55c | 696$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…a275backed Penguins | 45c | 696$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3142…7fcebacked Penguins | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…319cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 660$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…7dc4backed Penguins | 45c | 633.33$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…7762backed Canadiens | 62c | 580$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 44c | 562.12$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.33 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…a521backed Canadiens | 55c | 557$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…ad2fbacked Penguins | 45c | 557$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…13cdbacked Canadiens | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…645cbacked Penguins | 45c | 544$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf89…6f43backed Canadiens | 55c | 544$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 47c | 542$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Canadiens | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Canadiens | 70c | 535$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…929dbacked Penguins | 45c | 532$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…efbcbacked Canadiens | 55c | 532$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Penguins | 45c | 531.56$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 30c | 518.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…8c52backed Canadiens | 55c | 515$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 55c | 512.39$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…6168backed Canadiens | 55c | 507$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…0818backed Penguins | 45c | 507$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…f1d0backed Penguins | 45c | 505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c274backed Canadiens | 55c | 505$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…1016backed Penguins | 45c | 501$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331e…4efabacked Canadiens | 55c | 501$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827d…eba0backed Penguins | 45c | 498$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…fa96backed Canadiens | 55c | 498$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…7a21backed Canadiens | 55c | 495$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…a10fbacked Penguins | 45c | 495$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…4fd9backed Penguins | 45c | 494$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…ee95backed Canadiens | 55c | 494$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 62c | 487.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…4779backed Penguins | 45c | 467$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…0c58backed Canadiens | 55c | 467$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.