Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc835821b9fc1c6dfb080036357af623fcc7041435dc98a28fa6940e50402ba0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 3,437$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 2,824$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 24c | 2,430$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 2,087$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 79c | 1,250$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 15c | 797.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 256.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Under | 78c | 246.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 12c | 235.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 14c | 216.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 194.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 12c | 121.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 78c | 69.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 78c | 69.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 78c | 55.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Over | 19c | 54.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Under | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.