Harry Kane: 3+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48df067b0fbbe44a772eea1987c3751ffd8d45e2508ab821a44046a57659224b

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,632 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x703b…1956backed Yes	11c	8,530$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.4	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes	11c	4,545$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	1,327$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Yes	8c	1,284$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.63	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes	11c	934.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbf…0a5abacked Yes	12c	836.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes	10c	802.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	10c	698.94$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes	10c	630.29$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	11c	600.46$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Yes	12c	516.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66c2…85f4backed Yes	11c	458.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes	12c	420.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	254	37.4%95 W · 159 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Yes	13c	362$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.06	75	9.3%7 W · 68 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes	11c	360.55$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099c…eb28backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	9c	294.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf371…02cfbacked Yes	11c	294.39$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Yes	10c	289.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	72	19.4%14 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f6…56d8backed Yes	10c	261.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	11c	233.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	10c	211.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5679…a939backed Yes	12c	211.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	89	14.6%13 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes	11c	209.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes	15c	206.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	44%40 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed Yes	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…f477backed Yes	10c	193.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	10c	190$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f08…1d25backed Yes	7c	176.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Yes	11c	171.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f4…b3f8backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd671…634cbacked Yes	11c	163.64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes	6c	162.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-24%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes	10c	144.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18e…5343backed Yes	11c	137.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	102	28.4%29 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	10c	105.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…72b6backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Harry Kane: 3+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event