Fifa International · resolved market
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7680681825b12afe3efd23b3ca20298cc221a65c58925b465a2d9e61f12a6bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…942dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 26c | 116.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 23c | 90.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 67.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 59.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…c771backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…ff33backed Yes | 25c | 40.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 31.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assiststhis page
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 2+ savesNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 3+ savesNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 4+ savesNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.