Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6434a2251d03f114f3169237b0c51c24f6428f64ecc918d0506c4127cc8356b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x703b…1956backed Yes | 27c | 7,281$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 1,387$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 1,372$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 72c | 799.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 79c | 746.3$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 25c | 700.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 74c | 644.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 54c | 635.47$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 21c | 617$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 22c | 450$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes | 23c | 419.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 24c | 406.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 23c | 393.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 379.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9175backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 24c | 206.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 75c | 199.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 193$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 74c | 152.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 13c | 116.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…db24backed Yes | 25c | 104.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 74c | 77.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 76c | 74.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 65.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 77c | 63.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…836dbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 25c | 59.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…1d25backed Yes | 20c | 58.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…08b7backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 99 | 34.3%34 W · 65 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…718cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 75c | 49.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 46.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…2b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 44.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22c…9a4abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 74c | 34.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…aee5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed No | 77c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 1+ assiststhis page
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 2+ savesNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 3+ savesNo won
- Lawrence Ati Zigi: 4+ savesNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Rashford: 2+ assistsNo won
- Morgan Rogers: 2+ goalsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ assistsNo won
- Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.