Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd50d87e1ccc791b6826f76b28e55f2f5606a70ac72b1ff702eb646956c87949

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x530c…89f1backed Yes	9c	2,282$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	9c	1,594$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes	9c	1,128$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes	10c	625$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	109	37.6%41 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes	8c	337.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes	9c	277.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…6a0bbacked Yes	11c	277.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	237.65$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…20b2backed Yes	10c	180.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	9c	140.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9192…0f21backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event