Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309a04119d83c5f702203747e616edf4519b71e2b4800f268a5b394be9ede213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Misa Esports | 53c | 2,785$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.8 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 47c | 2,554$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.61 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 894.5$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.32 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 660$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed Misa Esports | 53c | 552.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Misa Esports | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 404.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 353.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 302.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 24c | 281.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Misa Esports | 51c | 226.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Misa Esports | 48c | 145.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Misa Esports | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Misa Esports | 47c | 105.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed Misa Esports | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,456 | 13.2%192 W · 1,264 L | -111.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 761 | 29%221 W · 540 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Misa Esports | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 85.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Misa Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 51.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 40.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Misa Esports | 48c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.