Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aab1996be1710ecbc9eb0270e7ac89f48fee10783166205b7d729509c542760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 9,432$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.45 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 7,589$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 46c | 5,032$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.19 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 45c | 888$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Under | 44c | 749.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 671.98$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.82 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 667.6$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 46c | 514.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 54c | 253.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 55c | 196.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 54c | 131.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 46c | 124.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 56c | 116.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 46c | 98.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 92.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 47c | 86.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 82.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 80.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 79.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 46c | 49.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 26c | 47.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 42.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Over | 46c | 41.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 46c | 40.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 30.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 795 | 45.3%360 W · 435 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.