Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4913b4f78431fe20baddb57456ffb84869b988ed66cac5ce96a227182c36343c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camila Osorioof Lucia Bronzetti, Camila Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 12c | 20,449$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.56 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucia Bronzetti | 9c | 12,234$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.49 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 11c | 10,971$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lucia Bronzetti | 10c | 3,992$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.57 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Lucia Bronzetti | 7c | 3,415$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lucia Bronzetti | 6c | 3,383$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Lucia Bronzetti | 22c | 2,016$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lucia Bronzetti | 12c | 2,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…6958backed Lucia Bronzetti | 7c | 1,616$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucia Bronzetti | 14c | 1,610$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 13c | 1,235$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 982.52$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 12c | 966.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 11c | 936.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 7c | 763.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 10c | 757.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Lucia Bronzetti | 8c | 575.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Camila Osorio | 77c | 553.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 22c | 500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 17c | 469.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 13c | 330.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…6863backed Lucia Bronzetti | 10c | 315.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 256.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 5c | 210.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Lucia Bronzetti | 23c | 203.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 9c | 199.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Camila Osorio | 77c | 178.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 11c | 165.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Camila Osorio | 79c | 141.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…c89dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 15c | 133.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lucia Bronzetti | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Lucia Bronzetti | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 23c | 122.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Camila Osorio | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Lucia Bronzetti | 15c | 95.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lucia Bronzetti | 14c | 84.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Lucia Bronzetti | 18c | 61.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lucia Bronzetti | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Camila Osorio | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Camila Osorio | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Camila Osorio | 79c | 16.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Camila Osorio | 78c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osoriothis page
- Bronzetti vs. Osorio: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bronzetti vs OsorioOsorio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.