MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7970fc2630808aea52508ee3b1d98b8db5f866ab0c5a4cab270757f57acd2742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Detroit Tigers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 27,127$9,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,494.36 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…2dd4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 14,455$9,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 9,833$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 7,039$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,038$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.24 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 2,975$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.08 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,386$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.94 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 1,205$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,200$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 880$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Detroit Tigers | 13c | 449.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 384.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 289.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 270.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 218$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 215$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 162.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…e658backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 113.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 19c | 106.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 85.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 76.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 68.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 51.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 49.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 42.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 39.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 32.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit TigersToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.