South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595c043c2a8d29164988333862128f802c1418f7e1e9739a1ea63c6769426097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 3,555$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,582$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,432$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 1,411$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.31 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 44c | 1,139$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.84 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 488.54$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 469$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 455.47$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Over | 43c | 381.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 374.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 333.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 10c | 322.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 296.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 56c | 293.3$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 44c | 146.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 44c | 143$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 34c | 139.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 138.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 132.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 122.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 109.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 57c | 87.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 86.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 46c | 71.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 40c | 57.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 55.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 45c | 54.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 58c | 52.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 58c | 38.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 60c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 29.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Under | 62c | 26.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 21.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.