South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff47f29837b2417b7532b96b6a24168511bfb109eb0cc45c689739473e0a40de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 2,775$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 2,656$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 1,649$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.04 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 524$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 493.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 371$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 356$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 320$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 37c | 299.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 13c | 252.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 237.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 41c | 209.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 58c | 167.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 164$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 164$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 47c | 145.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 91.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…f0edbacked Under | 74c | 87.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 73.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 75c | 69.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 41c | 59.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 60c | 45.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 77c | 39.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…3003backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 64c | 25.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…5077backed Under | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.