South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e15de90b07cdc4868bac9fd7e69c6bbea1e9b3e5bdeec235febcefef01c2c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Internacionalof SC Internacional, CR Vasco da Gama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CR Vasco da Gama | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.93 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Internacional | 23c | 1,157$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Internacional | 59c | 312.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed CR Vasco da Gama | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed SC Internacional | 24c | 207.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 76c | 207.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 68c | 195.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SC Internacional | 32c | 95.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 65c | 64.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed CR Vasco da Gama | 33c | 61.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SC Internacional | 35c | 40.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SC Internacional | 48c | 35.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed CR Vasco da Gama | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked SC Internacional | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)this page
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.