La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2841c8eef1b887533d40bfe38a7897fa05b58926c48d7f3ddd7452e91ade05c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 2,769$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 43c | 903.21$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 874.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 735.4$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 614.38$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 498.54$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 56c | 455.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 4c | 384.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 330.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 44c | 202.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…0d02backed Yes | 51c | 190.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 158.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 136.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…a797backed Yes | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 59c | 79.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 44c | 66.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 45c | 52.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 51.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 69c | 43.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed No | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 55c | 38.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 54c | 36.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…bbe6backed No | 42c | 33.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 69c | 30.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 54c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 56c | 23.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 61c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Yes | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 60c | 18.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will CD Castellón vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.