TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Over51c9,818$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.924351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c8,743$4,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.2268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c6,943$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.2432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under48c5,014$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over52c4,670$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under51c3,827$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.852240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over52c2,818$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.793450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Over49c2,326$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c2,114$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.3410650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c1,978$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Over51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over51c1,470$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.36659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c1,465$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.051,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5392075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9811127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over70c701.43$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.437464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c669.9$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c506.59$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.58360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over50c485$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over50c446.2$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.17358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c405.49$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under50c356$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17811349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over51c335$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.154860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c323.94$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c301.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15049137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c274$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.472065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under49c270.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.784748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under50c266.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.382055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over52c262.37$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c247.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c245.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over51c207.44$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.657248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-84.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.654365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over52c158.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.211348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c129.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9332854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under50c124.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.111656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over66c116.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.789627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c111.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over62c102.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.473141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under40c97.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c94.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over52c93.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.051546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.824955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a94…8860backed Under49c93.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over77c89.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.372544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over49c78.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.274658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over52c76.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.36347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.863043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e1…134fbacked Under51c62.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.087252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-67.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under50c57.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over51c56.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.457950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1715354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.313053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c45.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0412351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over53c45.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.483243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Under28c45.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.712733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Under35c38.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5570%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.657665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.657365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c37.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3813447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over52c30.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Under50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cd…4edbbacked Over50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7a…f619backed Over51c28.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over51c28.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7513653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c26.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.138958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under50c24.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under49c22.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.124759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under51c22.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c22.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over50c21.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over51c21.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04dc…62acbacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.