Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1cacc97419649db7a8efacab0a8e738222b1c8ae917465b99b8a400dd5801c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 14c | 2,386$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,734$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,480$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 58c | 991.75$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 60c | 566.08$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 545.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.06 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 54c | 343.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 36c | 301.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 57c | 299.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 33c | 287.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed No | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 42c | 213$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked No | 58c | 212.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 43c | 165.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed No | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 41c | 135.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 44c | 102.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 43c | 80.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 43c | 80.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 50c | 77.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed No | 60c | 76.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 42c | 66.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Yes | 42c | 58.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 64c | 46.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 40.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 43c | 39.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 64c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…27acbacked No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 59c | 17.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.