Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201dad03dd2ab55a3fccea2d8f980b675f30a1f4da59363b897ec187013f4f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 1,590$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 24c | 885.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 24c | 645.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Over | 76c | 246.4$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Over | 76c | 191.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Under | 10c | 118.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 24c | 84.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Over | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 24c | 56.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 75c | 40.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 75c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…1ba5backed Over | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 77c | 29.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…ccadbacked Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.