Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a3df3889c6fedd1c252bb74276d95077e9a06fa9f9f25edc11018620dd275d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 42c | 6,362$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,648$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 2,088$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.14 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,051$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.38 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 827.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 423.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 47c | 378.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…17ddbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 354.77$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 32c | 350.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 253.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 62c | 204.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 58c | 168.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 166.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 42c | 118.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…e3a8backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 43c | 98.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…806fbacked Under | 59c | 87.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 41c | 68.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 66.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 49.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…547abacked Over | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 33.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 56c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Under | 58c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…c4cebacked Under | 59c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Hammarby IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Kalmar FF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Kalmar FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.