South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8cdf56cb0345db276d97c67ffee13ff0792c05c6c1cc34e665dd9b0afb2c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 451.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 26c | 325.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 35c | 243.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 225.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 35c | 174.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 172.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Over | 64c | 155.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 65c | 109.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…5264backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…102bbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 69c | 56.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Under | 29c | 55.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…7418backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.