South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d1f6da2b336651a8390e099662a01da7ef9c04ecff68ca9c24674caaaea260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…7b31backed No | 55c | 1,466$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 45c | 1,285$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.83 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 47c | 685.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 459.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 304.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 50c | 299.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…f701backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 245.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 220.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 220.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 44c | 172.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 125.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…e0ecbacked No | 60c | 83.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…9782backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 58.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 42.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 45c | 36.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.