Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7517c6397f85639adc10bd48a125f6b265d0557509b64708f417006934b54513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 0c | 15,067$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 2c | 15,045$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 3,882$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Under | 1c | 3,643$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 1,590$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…6d89backed Over | 51c | 1,119$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 79c | 970.04$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 810.35$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 72c | 695$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 47c | 399.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 21c | 357.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 58c | 342.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 51c | 194.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 51c | 192.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 20c | 180.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 18c | 112.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 103.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 52c | 86.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…fe87backed Over | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 51c | 75.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 68.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 37c | 66.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ce0ebacked Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…bb74backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Over | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 79c | 31.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 64c | 29.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.