Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc7227fa65b15182a20b39da70d8a7a268c0d31c5d5274ee52322bede55b1c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 1c | 43,238$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 8,820$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,388.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 5,102$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.49 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 4,534$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 1c | 4,460$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 4,074$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.51 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Under | 2c | 4,002$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 1c | 3,518$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 5c | 2,913$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 9c | 2,341$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.41 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 31c | 951.32$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 660$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 19c | 558.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 27c | 427.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 30c | 349.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 32c | 304.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 9c | 299$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.09 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 21c | 260.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 78c | 162.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 31c | 145.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 111.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 76c | 91.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 81.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 19c | 78.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 70.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 73c | 22.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Under | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Under | 77c | 21.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 20.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 75c | 18.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 79c | 17.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…ea83backed Under | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.