TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c23,347$10,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,917.996,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over58c17,746$10,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,388.423357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Under1c10,067$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under1c8,128$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under1c6,324$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.728859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under1c6,137$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c4,943$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.684,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under2c4,608$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7216053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under1c3,644$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4110049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c3,590$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.4922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,253$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.461,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over49c2,045$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.633655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c1,585$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under9c1,536$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0910547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Under42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over40c657.1$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1410330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c653.87$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.879550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over57c608.77$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.775742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under44c521.16$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.021,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under43c503.54$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.566743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under42c473.94$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8324052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over38c464$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over55c449.1$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.12356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over58c437.42$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.426451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17226548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c398.39$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.711,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over56c375$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under43c371.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.846439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over25c360$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over64c317.81$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.412657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.57250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under62c243.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over59c237.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b0…9f87backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c228.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over57c205.26$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.267150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c205$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9513760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under55c181.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c172.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c172.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under60c167.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over40c163$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.82766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c154.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5435743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3110550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3615263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under45c111.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9921254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under37c110.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under47c106.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over56c105.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.395664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under46c102.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5724557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Over57c102.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.218653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over61c89.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…b718backed Under44c88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over57c87.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.93450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over59c79.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.84153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40cc…bcabbacked Over69c72.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4635347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over57c70.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4631746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over45c62.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.223743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under42c61.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under41c60.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Under44c57.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258056.3%45 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over46c53.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.999355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.031,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.556160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c49.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over50c49.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.092133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1611842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under51c47.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2818358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under50c47.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.444129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under44c45.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over39c43.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5916236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under45c43.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over35c42.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under44c41.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.335240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7620864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718362.7%52 W · 31 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1463…9527backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over49c34.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.839549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.