Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb0e7223c61698b0add7a50afa157847a8bf3de298028a70b95d65cc0e864fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Over | 16c | 692.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…7d3fbacked Over | 18c | 532.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 25c | 417.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 17c | 323.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 11c | 299.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 102 | 29.4%30 W · 72 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 20c | 256.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 17c | 252.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 80c | 146.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 15c | 89.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 18c | 69.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…90a3backed Over | 18c | 62.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 75c | 50.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 80c | 13.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 79c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.