South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fffc2e474d06e230925bf62896e99e8644d3a5da019cbd4b5ce772d5a764800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,436$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,207$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 60c | 2,175$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.04 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 1,133$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.24 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Over | 52c | 1,031$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 51c | 441.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 410.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 385.34$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 329.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 18c | 254.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 58c | 156.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 40c | 154.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 69c | 92.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 79.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 37c | 33.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 58c | 30.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 71c | 30.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 63c | 29.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 74c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.