TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Damac Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Damac Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,878 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d9c…4695backed Al Hilal Saudi Club71c10,168$7,233 inLost-$7,233.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Damac Saudi Club30c6,694$2,027 inWon+$4,666.45,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Damac Saudi Club29c3,666$1,058 inWon+$2,6082,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club70c859.33$600 inLost-$6002665.4%17 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Damac Saudi Club30c706.33$212 inWon+$494.4313855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club71c416.45$295 inLost-$294.743066.7%20 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Damac Saudi Club28c392.33$108 inWon+$284.1212534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Damac Saudi Club29c343.93$101 inWon+$242.7528253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Damac Saudi Club29c334.52$97 inWon+$237.151,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Al Hilal Saudi Club73c240$175 inLost-$175.23268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Damac Saudi Club27c240$65 inWon+$175.218446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Al Hilal Saudi Club70c214.14$150 inLost-$1501070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Al Hilal Saudi Club70c210.43$147 inLost-$147.31478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Damac Saudi Club28c201.2$56 inWon+$145.21,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club54c183.82$99 inLost-$991421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club70c172.55$121 inLost-$120.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Hilal Saudi Club78c141.03$110 inLost-$1101,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Damac Saudi Club48c109.97$53 inWon+$56.9813563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Damac Saudi Club30c96$29 inWon+$67.240448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Al Hilal Saudi Club50c90$45 inLost-$4514849.3%73 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Damac Saudi Club29c86.2$25 inWon+$61.218838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Al Hilal Saudi Club68c78$53 inLost-$53.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Damac Saudi Club51c65.34$34 inWon+$31.8272044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Damac Saudi Club31c65$20 inWon+$44.8515549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Damac Saudi Club33c51.52$17 inWon+$34.5210335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Damac Saudi Club21c47.62$10 inWon+$37.624454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Damac Saudi Club30c46.15$14 inWon+$32.121,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club70c41$29 inLost-$28.845641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Damac Saudi Club41c31.63$13 inWon+$18.561,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…45fbbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club75c23.96$18 inLost-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club67c23.11$15 inLost-$15.472,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Hilal Saudi Club76c20$15 inLost-$15.2539655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Al Hilal Saudi Club60c19.97$12 inLost-$11.9847155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Al Hilal Saudi Club68c17.65$12 inLost-$122759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ab…652cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club70c17.14$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club64c16.67$11 inLost-$10.671,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7d…64dabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club73c15.15$11 inLost-$10.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.