South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1612e5fc1ae01aae25269af49151273b514689f536ba0cbcdf22c13359caa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 46c | 17,427$8,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,391.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 54c | 3,890$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.38 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.29 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 54c | 1,702$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.92 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 54c | 1,459$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 1,363$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.4 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,303$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.88 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 44c | 1,016$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.18 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over | 59c | 994.49$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 733.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 626.69$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.41 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 570.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 543.8$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 18c | 533$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 54c | 437.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 375.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.76 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 317.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 14c | 299.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 291.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 253.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 54c | 243.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 41c | 241.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 225.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 197.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 58c | 181.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 177.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 54c | 145.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 54c | 145.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 82.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 54c | 72.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 52c | 67.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 65.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 63.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 51c | 57.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 55.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 35c | 51.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 50c | 50.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 24c | 45.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Over | 41c | 39.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 27.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 53c | 27.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 61c | 26.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 47c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 53c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.