Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17deb799a2ef25152683ddcc69f8c1f00410fef5749f99e3a04032019305faf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 35c | 1,934$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.2 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 1,626$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.94 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 51c | 896.38$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 59c | 712.32$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.91 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 52c | 647.43$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 35c | 599.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 49c | 309.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 64c | 298.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 247.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 246.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 200.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 49c | 192.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 65c | 158.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 145.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Over | 55c | 119.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 113.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 66c | 107.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over | 63c | 77.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 56.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 51.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 49c | 49.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 49.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 28.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 51c | 26.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 49c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 51c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.