Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e801065b456fcb1c6438ac84c515387faff8afd919e0dcf3c445ab695e89eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 2,103$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.52 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 1,185$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 774.33$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Over | 53c | 514.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 55c | 486.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 51c | 404$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 50c | 385.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 382.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 293.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.47 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 278.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 262.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 47c | 259.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 252.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Over | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 167.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 65c | 164.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 156.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 154.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 70c | 141.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 75c | 140.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Under | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 98.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 43c | 51.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 46.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 45c | 43.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 51c | 36.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 75c | 36.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 41c | 29.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over | 74c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.