Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6446e96bc1b474cd0f681f324f78db6768e2c43c1b2456437886be545ea3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf888…1c98backed Over | 75c | 5,996$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.46 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 25c | 5,358$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.75 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 33c | 907.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 473.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Over | 76c | 259.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 186.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 182.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 16c | 172.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed Under | 25c | 73.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Over | 78c | 73.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 75c | 52.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 75c | 23.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 78c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.