Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a2e9b1ede31cf095b3a0d6c1fbd5d1d2f218039cbfc6b0526bf625d8e6010c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Under | 0c | 4,130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.39 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 666.34$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.14 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 12c | 335.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 317.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 177.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 100.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 93.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…ba9bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 42.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 80c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.