South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4cd3cf9da0cf5abf0a6c173e64142f7b12304096eff719187f56b8a3fd6e0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 0c | 46,417$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 0c | 37,664$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 0c | 32,316$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 0c | 25,193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 1c | 11,273$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 0c | 6,444$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 17c | 5,095$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.18 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 0c | 4,491$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 2,909$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 2c | 2,138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,228$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 42c | 953.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 643.87$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 34c | 571.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.58 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 452.49$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 67c | 419.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 35c | 352.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Over | 62c | 296.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 30c | 263$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 36c | 163.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 42c | 159$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 140.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 68c | 139.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 33c | 92.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 64c | 59.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6852…ce4dbacked Over | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 67c | 19.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.